Overall, the outcome of USAID/Egypt’s trade-related assistance since 1992 is rated as satisfactory, with specific strengths identified as the consistency of USAID/Egypt’s program with the Government’s development strategy; the sustainability of USAID/Egypt’s overall assistance; USAID/Egypt’s strong support for policy and regulatory reforms; the leading role of USAID in supporting a coherent strategy for the GOE; flexibility and adaptability of its programs; stakeholder ownership of USAID assistance; the recent increase in effectiveness of capacity building efforts; the generally successful coordination of projects with development partners; outcomes generally having been met or exceeded based on USAID/Egypt’s target benchmarks; implementation of second generation reforms and trade facilitation measures; trade policy and customs reform programs and projects being well-integrated into economy-wide development initiatives; and USAID/Egypt’s development assistance output in trade-related activities having scored well during the period under review. Some of the areas were programs and projects could be improved upon relate to the need to more clearly defined their outcomes and impact objectives within USAID/Egypt’s strategic objectives; possibly bolstering its effectiveness in implementing trade policy reforms through the policy-based cash transfer programs; more clearly distinguishing between output and impact benchmarks when reviewing performance and including benchmarks that better reflect changes in trade control measures; improving its support for understanding the impact of WTO and other international commitments by Egypt, before those commitments are made; ensuring continuity of activities between its program sequencing activities; and providing for systematic assessments of trade capacity building effectiveness in its projects. These findings pointed to lessons for future activities that are elaborated upon in the report.

WTO impact assessment of Egypt's tariff reforms and their impact on macro-economy, based on both econometric modeling techniques and CGE model

Analysis of Egypt's competitiveness of furniture industry based on effective protection rates using detailed econometric model of five sub-industries and measuring impact on exports.

Development of balance of payments model for macroeconomic training and implementation project in Egypt.

Trade-related poverty assessment, based on survey and critical analysis of poverty and unemployment indicators.

WTO trade capacity building assessment of likely impact of liberalization under WTO rules based on quantitative assessment of alternative policy reforms classified under ease-of-delivery options.

WTO trade capacity building to assessed trade liberalization in structural adjustment support program. Identified key trade policy issues and macroeconomic linkages impacting on key sectors of the economy